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Sunday, 11.30pm: Kansas City Chiefs v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
BBC One
Our NFL trader, Ian Dent, has given us his best Bet Builder for the Super Bowl, and we’ve also had a look at some more markets ahead of Sunday’s extravaganza.
- Check out all the latest NFL tipsand previews now
Super Bowl Bet Builder: Tampa Bay on Money Line, Cameron Brate any time TD scorer and First Quarter Points Total to be Under 10.5 points
It’s a close game to call, but Tampa Bay’s rampant defensive line going up against Kansas City’s banged up offensive line could be the key to this game.
Tom Brady is playing in his 10th Super Bowl and this will be a very rare occasion that he starts as underdog. The value is with the Buccaneers and this would be a great start to the Bet Builder.
Cameron Brate scored a touchdown in the NFC championship game and I think he can do it again here. He has taken over from Rob Gronkowski as the main receiving tight-end and he is a serious red zone target. Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and possibly Antonio Brown will all need to be covered and Brate could be seeing a lot of one-on-one coverage.
Finally, I will be backing the total points in the first quarter to be under 10.5. Brady has never started off fast in any of his previous Super Bowls and I expect both teams to get off to a slow start.
Travis Kelce receiving yards to be under 98.5 points
Travis Kelce put in a huge performance in the NFC championship game, but I think the line may be too high at 98.5. Kelce doesn’t really break out for huge gains and instead chips away with short and medium range gains. The line for a tight-end is big here and Kelce needs everything to go his way if he is to go over. The value surely has got to be going under in this market.
Total sacks in game to be over 4.5
The Chiefs are missing their left tackle Eric Fisher, and the loss of such a key player makes the sack total in the game to be over 4.5 very appealing. The Bucs have one of the best defensive lines in the league, and Vita Vea and Ndamukong Suh might cause carnage up the middle. That could set up Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul for a big game – I can see them getting to Mahomes plenty of times.
Kansas City also have a good defensive line, with Chris Jones and Frank Clark more than capable of getting to Brady so they should help get this bet over the line.
Tampa Bay team sacks over 2.5
As we’ve discussed, Kansas City have problems along the offensive line while the Bucs defensive line have been superb throughout the playoffs. This is my favourite bet of the two and I can see the Bucs getting constant pressure on Mahomes and exceeding this 2.5 total.
What will happen first in game – sack or TD? Sack
We have a huge variety of bets for the big game and this is one that I really like. There’s the potential for lots of sacks in this game and I can see both these teams bringing the heat early. It is currently a great price for there to be a sack in this game before a touchdown is scored.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change
Super Bowl bet summary – Sunday, February 7
Bet Builder
Tampa Bay on money line
Cameron Brate any time TD scorer
First Quarter Points Total to be Under 10.5 points
Best Bets
Travis Kelce receiving yards to be under 98.5 points
Total sacks in game to be over 4.5
Tampa Bay team sacks over 2.5
What will happen first in game- sack or TD? Sack
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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
West Ham to win
Leeds are proving by far the most difficult team to predict in the Premier League this season. Marcelo Bielsa’s side is easily the most inconsistent side in the division and seem incapable of stringing a series of wins (or losses) together.
Leeds seem to be in a constant state of win one game and lose the next, having won five and lost six of their last 11 league games. They hardly ever draw games and are yet to do so away from Elland Road, while they have lost more games than almost every other Premier League club with the exception of Newcastle, West Brom, and Sheffield United.
They have struggled with injuries in recent weeks and the losses of Kalvin Phillips and Rodrigo has precipitated a run of two wins in five games.
West Ham, on the other hand, have been a hallmark of consistency since the turn of the year. The Hammers have collected 22 points from a possible 30 in 2021 – only losing to an unstoppable Manchester City and a Liverpool side that briefly looked back to its best.
In fact, David Moyes’ side caused City more problems than most in their 2-1 defeat at the Etihad and have shown themselves to be real challengers for the top four. They simply must beat an injury-hit The Whites at home to continue their push for Champions League football ahead of a crucial meeting with Manchester United next Sunday.
Monday 20:00 – West Ham v Leeds
Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
Both teams to score
Leeds are undeniably entertaining, scoring more goals than half of the top ten, while only West Brom and Sheffield United have conceded more than them. Both teams have scored in 13 of Leeds’s 26 league games this season and there is a good chance that that record will improve on Monday.
The Hammers have scored in every home game this season since they drew a blank against Newcastle on the opening day, while Leeds have scored 24 of their 43 league goals away from Elland Road.
West Ham have also conceded in six of their last eight home games in the Premier League and will struggle to shut out a Leeds attack that almost always looks capable of scoring, even during comprehensive defeats.
Read More:
- Check out all the latest Football tips and previews now
Michail Antonio to score anytime
Antonio’s timely return to fitness and form in the new year has been a key component of West Ham’s rise up the Premier League table. The English forward has added consistent match-winning goals to the West Ham team since his return, winning six points for the Hammers with his four goals in 2021.
Antonio has scored in each of his last two games and has scored three in his last five at the London Stadium. He will fancy his chances of improving that record against a porous Whites defence on Monday night.
Mateusz Klich to be booked
Klich finds himself at the top of Leeds’s discipline charts with six bookings in 24 league appearances. The Polish midfielder has been a mainstay in Bielsa’s side this season and has proved even more important since Kalvin Phillips’ injury.
Phillips may return on Monday night, but he is unlikely to play a full 90 minutes, meaning that Klich could be under more pressure in the middle of the park. His poor record may come back to haunt him once again.
West Ham v Leeds betting tips summary:
West Ham to win
Both teams to score
Michail Antonio to score anytime
Mateusz Klich to be booked
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